This is based on the figures from the COWIN portal and are assumptions.
Belagavi District Population – 50 Lakhs Approx
Dose 1 Given: 6.93 Lakh
Dose 2 Given: 1.42 Lakh
Pending = 41.65 Lakh
Current daily Average = 15,000 (Approx as per Co-WIN)
Duration at current pace = (4165000 x 2 Doses + 6,93,000 x 1 Dose) / 15000 = 601 Days
601 days equals to 1 Year, 7 Months
Doses to be given per day for 8 month target (4165000 x 2 Doses + 6,93,000 x 1 Dose) / (30 Days x 8) = Minimum 37595 Doses Per Day
So a minimum of 35-38000 vaccinations has to happen per day so that the entire district is vaccinated in the next 8 months.
The current rate of vaccinations in the district is 16000 per day in the last two days.
With more supply of vaccine and more private players and easy accessibility the numbers can rise.
The District administration must take up this issue like the Pulse Polio drive and involve as many NGOs as possible and make the vaccine reach the masses which will also help us in stopping the said 3rd wave of the pandemic.
More the number of persons vaccinated lesser would the spread and hence the pressure on the health system will also ease.