Munish Moudgil in-charge of the Karnataka State Covid war room has estimated that the number of coronavirus infections in Karnataka could rise to 25,000 by August 15.
Active coronavirus cases in Karnataka may reach around 25,000 by August 15 if the state maintains the current compounded daily growth rate of 4 %.
Munish Moudgil’s estimation is based on a projected infection rate of 4% as against the current infection rate of 3%. Although exact figures are not possible, the projection is based on factors like the speed of transmission of the virus.
The officer underlined that it is extremely difficult to make accurate projections, particularly beyond 15-20 days because it depends on the behaviour of individual citizens post unlocking the lockdown as well as action taken by the government.
Moudgil has recommended three action points for the administration which include tracing all contacts of every patient within 24 hours and effectively quarantining them.
In this context, the next 50-60 days will be crucial, and the general public will need to be extra careful in terms of using masks, observing social distancing and washing hands frequently, noted Moudgil.